Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills |
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NFL 09/18 8:15 PM |
Pick: Under 50 for 1 units Analysis: This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS/BUFFALO BILLS UNDER for our Thursday Free Play. The over will be the public bet tonight based off the fact that the Buffalo offense continues to hum along and it is a standalone primetime game. While the Bills offense should thrive again, the defense showed up last week against the Jets, allowing just 154 total yards. Buffalo has won six straight meetings in this series including four at home with all four of those games going over the total, another reason we are on the under as we are on the contrarian side. Miami has averaged 26.8 ppg in the four meetings in Buffalo and the Dolphins will not come close to that here. The Bills defense was bad in their season opener against Baltimore and will be out to shore that up in the second game in front of the home crowd. Head coach Mike McDaniel looks like he has lost this team only two games in and that is bad news heading to Buffalo where the Dolphins have not won since 2016. Miami is 7-0 to the under following a divisional loss under McDaniel. Also, both teams fall into a solid system as we play the under when the total is 49.5 or higher in conference games playing with four or fewer days of rest. This situation is 44-20 (68.8 percent) to the under since 1983. Play Under (301) Miami Dolphins/(302) Buffalo Bills NFL off TWO straight Primetime Winners (Falcons and Chargers) and third straight Winner goes Thursday. Profitable NFL YTD and +$14,540 L3+ Regular Seasons. CFB 8-4 last week. Week Four opens with a Thursday Winner! |
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